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Breakfast Wars: Fast Food Giants Battle for Morning Market Dominance

by Ella

Fast food titans, including McDonald’s (MCD), Wendy’s (WEN), Burger King (QSR), and Taco Bell (YUM), are engaged in a fierce competition for a slice of the breakfast pie.

In a bid to counter declining foot traffic and expand beyond the saturated lunch and dinner markets, breakfast has emerged as a battleground for these industry behemoths.

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According to Danilo Gargiulo, an analyst at Bernstein, intense competition is driving these fast food giants to ramp up their efforts to win over morning diners.

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With the cost of dining out remaining consistently high, consumers are opting for breakfast as a more affordable indulgence, as noted by Sean Dunlop, an analyst at Morningstar. While a morning McMuffin sale may not necessarily cannibalize an evening Big Mac sale, consumers may opt for fast food breakfast options instead of more expensive sit-down brunches.

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A successful breakfast strategy has the potential to attract new visitors to fast food establishments and complement their core offerings, asserts Gargiulo.

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Currently, McDonald’s holds the lion’s share of the breakfast market. In 2023, the Golden Arches accounted for 35.4% of all visits to fast food, quick service restaurants, breakfast joints, coffee shops, bakeries, and dessert shops between 7 a.m. and 10 a.m. Starbucks followed with a 15.9% market share, Dunkin’ Donuts with 14.0%, and Burger King with 4.5%.

Now, Wendy’s is making a concerted effort to catch up. CEO Kirk Tanner highlighted breakfast as “one of the most compelling levers” to boost sales and margins during a recent earnings call. The chain is investing $55 million in advertising across the US and Canada to drive morning sales and recently introduced a Cinnabon pull-apart cup in February to mark its four-year presence in the breakfast arena.

Dunlop emphasizes that breakfast items contribute significantly to a restaurant’s revenue as they are truly incremental to the brand. With lower staffing requirements and cheaper ingredients such as bread and eggs, breakfast offerings represent a lucrative opportunity for fast food chains to bolster their bottom line.

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